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Tag: Modeling
  1. The Jones Fire burns in Oregon in 2017.

    Grants will help scientists probe droughts, model fisheries

    Three scientists at NCAR will lead research projects funded by a program of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) that aims to improve our ability to better understand and predict climate variability in both the short and long term.

    • Climate

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  2. Colorful phytoplankton float on top of waters off of Patagonia. Image: NASA

    A surprising range of climate events may be predictable years in advance

    A slew of new papers collectively show that a wide range of phenomena across the atmosphere, oceans, and land may be predictable on time horizons that stretch from a year to a decade out. The new studies are all derived from the Decadal Prediction Large Ensemble.

    • Climate,
    • Data

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  3. Increased warming in latest generation of climate models likely caused by clouds

    As scientists work to determine why some of the latest climate models suggest the future could be warmer than previously thought, a new study indicates the reason is likely related to challenges simulating the formation and evolution of clouds.

    • Climate

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  4. Simulation of past climate shows recent models may be too sensitive to carbon dioxide

    A climate model simulation of the Early Eocene period roughly 50 million years ago returned temperatures that were too high compared to evidence in the geologic record, suggesting that the model may also project unrealistically high temperatures for the future.

    • Climate

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  5. Arctic sea ice

    Arctic Ocean likely to become ice-free in the summer for first time before 2050

    The Arctic Ocean is likely to have its first ice-free summer before 2050, according to an analysis of simulations from more than 40 different climate models. How frequently the sea ice vanishes in the summer depends on the rate of greenhouse gas emissions in the future.

    • Climate

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