Tag: Modeling
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NCAR experimental prediction system calls for a super El Niño this winter
Current El Niño conditions are likely to develop into one of the strongest events on record — comparable to the major El Niño of 1997-98 — according to an experimental prediction system developed for research purposes.
- Climate,
- Weather
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City dwellers will face more extreme precipitation in the future
Researchers examine the potential for urban areas to experience heavier rainfall and flooding risks in the future.
- Climate,
- Weather
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High-res Western drought forecasts could be on horizon
A new computer modeling technique developed by NCAR scientists offers the potential to generate months-ahead summertime drought forecasts across the Western United States with the capability of differentiating between dry conditions at locations just a couple of miles apart.
- Climate,
- Water
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Australian bushfires likely contributed to multiyear La Niña
The catastrophic Australian bushfires in 2019-2020 contributed to ocean cooling thousands of miles away, ultimately nudging the Tropical Pacific into a rare multi-year La Niña event that dissipated only recently.
- Climate
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Predictive power of climate models may be masked by volcanoes
Simulated volcanic eruptions may be blowing up our ability to predict near-term climate, according to a new study published in Science Advances.
- Climate