Amid day-to-day weather forecasts and seasonal outlooks, there's a no-man's-zone of uncertainty one to two months out. A phenomenon called the Madden-Julian Oscillation may hold the key to better predictions in this intermediate period.

Volcanic eruptions and resulting changes to sea ice and ocean currents may be the cause.

NCAR scientist Jerry Meehl explains the connection in this animated video.

Even as global warming coverage declines, some journalists are connecting the dots to extreme events.

The effects of a warming climate on hail are largely unknown, as global climate models are too coarse in resolution to simulate hailstorms in detail. But a new modeling study now tackles this subject, looking at the future of hail in Colorado’s Rocky Mountains over the coming decades.